NHC eyeing tropical disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico

NHC eyeing tropical disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico

NHC eyeing tropical disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico

We continue to monitor a big rainmaker over Florida tonight. This area of showers and thunderstorms is not organized has a low chance of developing into something tropical/sub-tropical in the next 2 days and a medium chance of developing in 5 days. Whether or not we get our first named system out of this is not necessarily important from a sensible weather standpoint.

There is a large area of clouds and rain in the Gulf of Mexico near Cuba.

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Rain chances will remain between 70 to 80 percent through at least Thursday.

The big impact will be the heavy rainfall, although that's not necessarily a bad thing since many areas have recently been dry. I can't rule out a strong thunderstorm; however, no organized severe weather is expected.

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Tropical disturbances in May are not uncommon.

Highs will stay in the 80s this week because of the cloud cover and occasionally wet weather.

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And while the storm is not expected to develop, it still will likely continue to drench South Florida over the next week and possibly into the coming weekend. I will be sharing more specifics in my forecast at 9, 9:30 and 10 p.m. this evening. Long range data suggests a blocking pattern will setup across the country, so the unsettled pattern may linger past the weekend.

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